Comorbidities and their impact on in-hospital mortality in hospitalized adult patients with bacterial community-acquired pneumonia: a cohort study
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Key findings
• Comorbidities significantly contributes to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) mortality risk.
• The multivariate model using age, sex and comorbidities can predict the risk of in-hospital death of CAP with good performance.
What is known and what is new?
• Previous studies have reported a relationship between comorbidities and pneumonia outcomes. The relationship between individual comorbidity and pneumonia outcome has not been fully analyzed.
• The present study, as a district-level multicenter study across administrative divisions in Chinese municipalities, was designed to describe the prevalence of comorbidities in patients admitted for CAP, analyze the relationship between in-hospital death risk and comorbidities, compare multiple assessment methods for the comorbidities, and establish a prediction model of in-hospital death risk in CAP patients based on comorbidities and demographic characteristics. The most frequent comorbidities in the Charlson and Elixhauser lists are hypertension (44%), Congestive heart failure (19%), diabetes (15%) and cerebrovascular disease (14%). All comorbidity indicators are independent risk factors for in-hospital death. Alcohol abuse, tumor, cerebrovascular disease, congestive heart failure, dementia, neurological disorders, and renal diseases are independent risk factors for in-hospital death. All the multivariate models show good performance in predicting in-hospital death in the validation group. The area under the curve (AUC) range from 0.753 to 0.871. The best performing model based on AUC includes binary variable for each comorbidity in the Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity lists.
What is the implication, and what should change now?
• Patients with more comorbidities may have poor prognosis and need early identification, multidisciplinary discussion, and active treatment. Further investigation is warranted to elucidate the complex interactions between various comorbidities and pneumonia. The targeted treatment plan needs to be further explored.
Introduction
Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, and hospitalizations for CAP have been increasing rapidly (1). Lower respiratory infections lead to 2.37 million deaths (36.8/100,000) globally in 2016 (2). Non-coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) lower respiratory infections lead to 2.18 million deaths (27.7/100,000) globally in 2021 (3). Accurate risk stratification through mortality prediction is therefore crucial for optimizing CAP management (4). Pneumonia patients often have comorbidities related to mortality (5). Evaluating the relationship between comorbidities and mortality can help predict outcomes and illustrate the interaction between pneumonia and comorbidities.
Comorbidities can be classified according to the Charlson list, Elixhauser list (6), Clinical Classifications Software Refined (CCSR) (7,8) and International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (ICD)-10th revision (ICD-10). Diseases can be classified into chapters, blocks of categories, categories, subcategories on different levels according to ICD-10. Current comorbidity assessment methodologies mainly rely on weighted scoring systems, such as the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI) (6).
While several previous studies (5,9-11) have reported a relationship between comorbidities and pneumonia outcomes, critical knowledge gaps still persist. Most studies have analyzed composite comorbidity indices rather than individual condition-specific effects. The relationship between individual comorbidity and pneumonia outcome has not been fully analyzed. Different assessment methods for comorbidities have not been compared. Most studies were conducted in the United States of America (9,10), France (5), and Brazil (11). Many studies were even conducted based on the diagnosis coded by ICD-9. International variations in ICD coding practices necessitate validation of comorbidity assessment tools within China’s ICD-10 framework. There were only a few such studies carried out in China, and only a few comorbidities have been evaluated (12).
Hence, the present study, as a district-level multicenter study across administrative divisions in Chinese municipalities, was designed to describe the prevalence of comorbidities in patients admitted for CAP, analyze the relationship between in-hospital death risk and comorbidities, compare multiple assessment methods for the comorbidities, and establish a prediction model of in-hospital death risk in CAP patients based on comorbidities and demographic characteristics. We present this article in accordance with the STROBE reporting checklist (available at https://jtd.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/jtd-2024-2081/rc).
Methods
This cohort study included adult patients admitted with bacterial CAP across all healthcare institutions in Jiading District, Shanghai, China, between January 2013 and December 2018. The participating institutions comprised 31 hospitals (2 tertiary public hospitals, 6 secondary public hospitals, 10 primary public hospitals and 13 private hospitals) with a combined inpatient capacity exceeding 5,000 beds. Bacterial CAP cases were identified using a three-tier diagnostic algorithm: (I) primary ICD-10 diagnosis codes J13–J18; (II) the Present on Admission (POA) status of “pneumonia” was ‘1-Yes’ or ‘2-Suspected (unconfirmed)’; (III) absence of hospital-acquired pneumonia diagnoses. Clinical data including demographic characteristics, primary and secondary diagnoses (coded in ICD-10), and outcomes were extracted from the standardized Front Page of Inpatient Medical Record (China)—a functional equivalent to the U.S. Uniform Hospital Discharge Data Set (UHDDS). Only secondary diagnoses with a POA status of ‘1-Yes’ or ‘2-Suspected (unconfirmed)’ were included. No missing data were found.
We mapped the ICD-10 Chinese clinical modified version to ICD-10-CM version 2021 by U.S. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Then, we used the Chronic Condition Indicator (13) to identify chronic ICD-10 codes as comorbidities. Two senior clinicians (T.C. and Y.L.) and a certified medical coder (W.G.), each with >10 years of relevant experience, further revised the chronic condition indicator in the context of pneumonia according to Chinese clinical and coding practice. D68.9#Coagulation defect, D69.600#Thrombocytopenia, D70#Neutropenia, D72.8#Other disorders of white blood cells, D72.802#Elevated white blood cell count, D72.803#Lymphocytopenia, D72.804#Lymphocytosis (symptomatic), D72.806#Leukemoid reaction, D72.9#Disorder of white blood cells, unspecified, E77.801#hypoproteinemia, were recognized as possible manifestations of pneumonia rather than comorbidities and were further excluded.
Comorbidities were classified according to the Charlson list and Elixhauser list [using Simard’s mapping table (6)], CCSR (7) and ICD-10 (on chapters, blocks of categories, categories, subcategories levels). The comorbidity situation was evaluated by CCI (14), ECI (15), the number of comorbidities in the Charlson list and Elixhauser list, and binary variable for every medical condition (1 = with, 0 = without) in the Charlson and Elixhauser list, CCSR category, ICD-10 chapter, ICD-10 block, ICD-10 category and ICD-10 subcategory. Patients were grouped by age: 18–44, 45–64, 65–74, 75–84 and ≥85 years. Primary diagnoses were classified as “severe pneumonia”, “non-severe pneumonia” and “pneumonia with severity not specified” based on the primary diagnostic codes in the ICD-10 Chinese Clinical Modification. Specifically, “J15.902# community-acquired pneumonia, non-severe” was classified as “non-severe pneumonia”. “J15.903# Community-acquired pneumonia, severe” and “J18.903# Severe pneumonia” were classified as “severe pneumonia”. All other relevant diagnosis codes were categorized as pneumonia with unspecified severity. The severity assessment followed the Chinese pneumonia guidelines (16), wherein severe pneumonia was diagnosed if a patient met either any major criterion or at least three minor criteria. Major criteria: (I) requiring tracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation; (II) septic shock, and still in need of vasoactive drugs after active fluid resuscitation. Minor criteria: (I) respiratory rate (RR) ≥30 bpm; (II) oxygenation index ≤250 mmHg (1 mmHg =0.133 kPa); (III) infiltrates in multiple lung lobes; (IV) disturbance of consciousness and (or) disorientation; (V) blood urea nitrogen (BUN) ≥7.14 mmol/L; (VI) systolic blood pressure (SBP) <90 mmHg, requiring active fluid resuscitation. This study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments. This study was approved by the Ruijin Hospital Ethics Committee (No. 2018-015-1). Given that the study was retrospective and all data were anonymous, the requirement for informed consent was waived.
Statistical analysis
The prevalence and in-hospital mortality of each age group, gender, primary diagnosis, and presence or absence of comorbidities were described. Univariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the relationship between age, gender, primary diagnosis, presence or absence of comorbidities and in-hospital mortality. Predictive models were developed using a stratified random split-sample approach, allocating 60% (derivation cohort) and 40% (validation cohort) of the study population. In the derivation group, multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed with in-hospital death or not as the dependent variable and age, gender and comorbidities as the independent variables. Comorbidities were respectively transformed into CCI, number of comorbidities in the Charlson list, ECI, number of comorbidities in the Elixhauser list, binary variable for every comorbidity in the Charlson and Elixhauser lists, binary variable for every comorbidity classified in CCSR, binary variable for every comorbidity classified in ICD-10 chapter, binary variable for every comorbidity classified in ICD-10 block of category, binary variable for every comorbidity classified in ICD-10 category, binary variable for every comorbidity classified in ICD-10 subcategory, Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) score Comorbidity Index, binary variable for every comorbidity in PSI comorbidity list in Models B–M. Model A, using only demographic characteristics and primary diagnosis, also served as a control group. After including the impact of the main diagnosis, Models A2–M2 was further established with age, gender, main diagnosis and comorbidities as independent variables. Comorbidities were transformed into variables by the same manner as Models A–M and were used to calculate the risk of in-hospital death for each patient. The predicted value of in-hospital mortality was calculated for each patient based on Models A–M and Models A2–M2. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was depicted and the area under the curve (AUC, namely AUROC) was calculated for each model in the derivation group and validation group. Because there was only one death in the 18–44-year group, 45–64-year group was used as the reference group for logistic regression analysis. In the multivariate analysis, potential independent variables were selected through the following process: first, primary screening retained comorbidities with >1‰ prevalence to maintain model stability. Subsequently, rare comorbidities (<1‰ prevalence) that showed significant associations with mortality (P<0.05) in univariate analyses were incorporated to account for their potential clinical relevance, despite their low frequency. Finally, independent variables were selected using bidirectional stepwise regression. Statistical analysis utilized SPSS v25.0 (IBM Corp., New York, USA) with graphical representations created in GraphPad Prism v8.0 (Dotmatics Corp., USA).
Results
A total of 11,164 patients were enrolled, with a median age of 70 [interquartile range (IQR), 56–82] years. 380 patients (3.40%) died during hospitalization. The median length of hospital stay was 11 [IQR, 9–15] days. The demographic characteristics, primary diagnosis, comorbidities and in-hospital mortality of patients in each group are shown in Tables 1,2 and the online table (available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/jtd-2024-2081-1.pdf). The number of comorbidities, CCI and ECI are shown in Figure 1. The patients who were older and those who died in the hospital had higher comorbidity burdens and indices. The prevalence of each comorbidity is shown in Figure 2. The most frequent comorbidities in the Charlson and Elixhauser classifications were hypertension (44%), congestive heart failure (19%), diabetes (15%), and cerebrovascular disease (14%). Under the CCSR classification system, the most frequent comorbidities were CIR007#Essential hypertension (44%), CIR011#Coronary atherosclerosis and other heart disease (22%), and CIR019#Heart failure (18%). Univariate analysis on the relationship between in-hospital mortality and age, gender, primary diagnosis, comorbidities, and complications on admission is shown in Tables 1,2 and the online table (available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/jtd-2024-2081-1.pdf).
Table 1
| Variables | Value | In-hospital death (mortality%) | P value | OR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 11,164 (100.000) | 380 (3.40) | – | – |
| Age | 70 [56–82] | 83 [77–87] vs. 70 [55–81]a | <0.001 | |
| 18–44 years | 1,709 (15.308) | 1 (0.06) | 0.003 | 0.049 (0.007–0.363)b |
| 45–64 years | 2,738 (24.525) | 32 (1.17) | <0.001 | Reference group |
| 65–74 years | 2,042 (18.291) | 54 (2.64) | <0.001 | 2.3 (1.48–3.57)b |
| 75–84 years | 2,824 (25.296) | 136 (4.82) | <0.001 | 4.28 (2.9–6.31)b |
| ≥85 years | 1,851 (16.580) | 157 (8.48) | <0.001 | 7.84 (5.33–11.5)b |
| Gender | ||||
| Female | 5,619 (50.331) | 152 (2.71) | ||
| Male | 5,545 (49.669) | 228 (4.11) | <0.001 | 1.54 (1.25–1.9) |
| Pneumonia | ||||
| Severity unspecified | 7,178 (64.296) | 186 (2.59) | <0.001 | |
| Non-severe | 2,844 (25.475) | 10 (0.35) | <0.001 | 0.133 (0.070–0.251)c |
| Severe | 1,142 (10.229) | 184 (16.11) | <0.001 | 7.22 (5.83–8.95)c |
| Number of comorbidities (Charlson list) | 0 [0–1] | 1 [1–2] vs. 0 [0–1]a | <0.001 | 1.82 (1.67–1.99)d |
| 0 | 5,734 (51.362) | 87 (1.52) | ||
| 1 | 3,381 (30.285) | 140 (4.14) | ||
| 2 | 1,520 (13.615) | 97 (6.38) | ||
| 3 | 421 (3.771) | 41 (9.74) | ||
| 4 | 88 (0.788) | 12 (13.64) | ||
| ≥5 | 20 (0.179) | 3 (15.00) | ||
| Number of comorbidities (Elixhauser list) | 1 [0–2] | 2 [1–3] vs. 1 [0–2]a | <0.001 | 1.46 (1.35–1.57)d |
| 0 | 3,968 (35.543) | 70 (1.76) | ||
| 1 | 3,333 (29.855) | 102 (3.06) | ||
| 2 | 2,244 (20.100) | 100 (4.46) | ||
| 3 | 1,116 (9.996) | 67 (6.00) | ||
| 4 | 403 (3.610) | 31 (7.69) | ||
| ≥5 | 100 (0.896) | 10 (10.00) | ||
| Charlson Comorbidity Index | 0 [0–1] | 1 [1–2] vs. 0 [0–1]a | <0.001 | 1.51 (1.42–1.61)e |
| Elixhauser Comorbidity Index | 0 [0–5] | 6 [0–9] vs. 0 [−1 to 4]a | <0.001 | 1.14 (1.12–1.16)e |
Data are presented as n (%) or median [IQR]. a, patients who died in hospital vs. the patients who survived to discharge; b, compared with the 45–64-year group; c, compared with “pneumonia, severity unspecified”; d, for each 1 increase in number of comorbidities; e, for each 1 increase in comorbidity index. CAP, community-acquired pneumonia; CI, confidence interval; IQR, interquartile range; OR, odds ratio.
Table 2
| Comorbidities | N (%) | In-hospital death (mortality%) | OR (95% CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| With comorbidity | Without comorbidity | P value | |||
| Comorbidities classified by the Charlson and Elixhauser lists | |||||
| AIDS/HIV | 3 (0.027) | 0 | 380 (3.40) | >0.99 | 0 |
| Alcohol abuse | 8 (0.072) | 3 (37.50) | 377 (3.38) | <0.001 | 17.2 (4.08–72) |
| Any tumor without metastasis | 316 (2.831) | 28 (8.86) | 352 (3.24) | <0.001 | 2.9 (1.94–4.33) |
| Solid tumor without metastasis | 292 (2.616) | 27 (9.25) | 353 (3.25) | <0.001 | 3.04 (2.02–4.57) |
| Lymphoma | 27 (0.242) | 1 (3.70) | 379 (3.40) | 0.93 | 1.09 (0.148–8.07) |
| Cardiac arrhythmias | 1,411 (12.639) | 83 (5.88) | 297 (3.05) | <0.001 | 1.99 (1.55–2.56) |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 1,572 (14.081) | 124 (7.89) | 256 (2.67) | <0.001 | 3.12 (2.5–3.9) |
| Chronic pulmonary disease | 659 (5.903) | 27 (4.10) | 353 (3.36) | 0.31 | 1.23 (0.824–1.83) |
| Coagulopathy | 8 (0.072) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| Congestive heart failure | 2,093 (18.748) | 160 (7.64) | 220 (2.43) | <0.001 | 3.33 (2.7–4.11) |
| Deficiency anemia | 1 (0.009) | 0 | 380 (3.40) | >0.99 | 0 |
| Dementia | 200 (1.791) | 26 (13.00) | 354 (3.23) | <0.001 | 4.48 (2.93–6.85) |
| Depression | 57 (0.511) | 2 (3.51) | 378 (3.40) | 0.96 | 1.03 (0.251–4.25) |
| Diabetes, complicated | 140 (1.254) | 5 (3.57) | 375 (3.40) | 0.91 | 1.05 (0.428–2.58) |
| Diabetes (total) | 1,664 (14.905) | 70 (4.21) | 310 (3.26) | 0.051 | 1.3 (0.999–1.7) |
| Hypertension | 4,910 (43.981) | 175 (3.56) | 205 (3.28) | 0.40 | 1.09 (0.888–1.34) |
| Hypothyroidism | 176 (1.576) | 9 (5.11) | 371 (3.38) | 0.21 | 1.54 (0.782–3.04) |
| Liver disease (total) | 449 (4.022) | 13 (2.90) | 367 (3.43) | 0.54 | 0.841 (0.48–1.47) |
| Moderate or severe liver disease | 27 (0.242) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| Metastatic cancer | 36 (0.322) | 3 (8.33) | 377 (3.39) | 0.11 | 2.59 (0.792–8.49) |
| Myocardial infarction | 57 (0.511) | 5 (8.77) | 375 (3.38) | 0.03 | 2.75 (1.09–6.93) |
| Neurological disorders | 335 (3.001) | 35 (10.45) | 345 (3.19) | <0.001 | 3.55 (2.46–5.11) |
| Obesity | 3 (0.027) | 0 | 380 (3.40) | >0.999 | 0 |
| Paralysis | 4 (0.036) | 1 (25.00) | 379 (3.40) | 0.052 | 9.48 (0.984–91.4) |
| Peripheral vascular disorders | 278 (2.490) | 3 (1.08) | 377 (3.46) | 0.041 | 0.304 (0.097–0.953) |
| Psychoses | 17 (0.152) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| Pulmonary circulation disorders | 45 (0.403) | 4 (8.89) | 376 (3.38) | 0.051 | 2.79 (0.993–7.82) |
| Renal disease | 431 (3.861) | 48 (11.14) | 332 (3.09) | <0.001 | 3.93 (2.85–5.4) |
| Rheumatoid arth OR collagen vascular disease_Elixhauster criteria | 165 (1.478) | 6 (3.64) | 374 (3.40) | 0.86 | 1.07 (0.471–2.44) |
| Rheumatoid arth/collagen vascular disease_Charlson criteria | 147 (1.317) | 4 (2.72) | 376 (3.41) | 0.64 | 0.792 (0.292–2.15) |
| Ulcer disease_Charlson criteria | 47 (0.421) | 2 (4.26) | 378 (3.40) | 0.74 | 1.26 (0.305–5.22) |
| Ulcer disease_Elixhauster criteria | 41 (0.367) | 1 (2.44) | 379 (3.41) | 0.73 | 0.709 (0.0972–5.17) |
| Valvular disease | 69 (0.618) | 2 (2.90) | 378 (3.41) | 0.81 | 0.846 (0.207–3.47) |
| Weight loss | 11 (0.099) | 3 (27.27) | 377 (3.38) | <0.001 | 10.7 (2.83–40.6) |
| Comorbidities classified by CCSR list | |||||
| BLD003#Aplastic anemia | 26 (0.233) | 3 (11.54) | 377 (3.38) | 0.03 | 3.72 (1.11–12.5) |
| BLD007#Diseases of white blood cells | 81 (0.726) | 0 | 380 (3.43) | >0.99 | 0 |
| BLD008#Immunity disorders | 36 (0.322) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| CIR001#Chronic rheumatic heart disease | 50 (0.448) | 0 | 380 (3.42) | >0.99 | 0 |
| CIR003#Nonrheumatic and unspecified valve disorders | 34 (0.305) | 1 (2.94) | 379 (3.41) | 0.88 | 0.86 (0.117–6.3) |
| CIR004#Endocarditis and endocardial disease | 56 (0.502) | 2 (3.57) | 378 (3.40) | 0.94 | 1.05 (0.255–4.33) |
| CIR005#Myocarditis and cardiomyopathy | 787 (7.049) | 52 (6.61) | 328 (3.16) | <0.001 | 2.17 (1.6–2.93) |
| CIR007#Essential hypertension | 4,889 (43.793) | 174 (3.56) | 206 (3.28) | 0.42 | 1.09 (0.885–1.34) |
| CIR008#Hypertension with complications and secondary hypertension | 52 (0.466) | 1 (1.92) | 379 (3.41) | 0.56 | 0.555 (0.0765–4.03) |
| CIR009#Acute myocardial infarction | 11 (0.099) | 2 (18.18) | 378 (3.39) | 0.01 | 6.33 (1.36–29.4) |
| CIR011#Coronary atherosclerosis and other heart disease | 2,481 (22.223) | 155 (6.25) | 225 (2.59) | <0.001 | 2.5 (2.03–3.09) |
| CIR014#Pulmonary heart disease | 45 (0.403) | 4 (8.89) | 376 (3.38) | 0.051 | 2.79 (0.993–7.82) |
| CIR015#Other and ill-defined heart disease | 24 (0.215) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| CIR016#Conduction disorders | 130 (1.164) | 10 (7.69) | 370 (3.35) | 0.009 | 2.4 (1.25–4.62) |
| CIR017#Cardiac dysrhythmias | 1,364 (12.218) | 79 (5.79) | 301 (3.07) | <0.001 | 1.94 (1.5–2.5) |
| CIR019#Heart failure | 2,030 (18.183) | 156 (7.68) | 224 (2.45) | <0.001 | 3.31 (2.68–4.09) |
| CIR020#Cerebral infarction | 625 (5.598) | 54 (8.64) | 326 (3.09) | <0.001 | 2.96 (2.19–4) |
| CIR021#Acute hemorrhagic cerebrovascular disease | 44 (0.394) | 5 (11.36) | 375 (3.37) | 0.006 | 3.67 (1.44–9.37) |
| CIR022#Sequela of hemorrhagic cerebrovascular disease | 74 (0.663) | 5 (6.76) | 375 (3.38) | 0.11 | 2.07 (0.83–5.16) |
| CIR024#Other and ill-defined cerebrovascular disease | 99 (0.887) | 7 (7.07) | 373 (3.37) | 0.049 | 2.18 (1–4.74) |
| CIR025#Sequela of cerebral infarction and other cerebrovascular disease | 753 (6.745) | 64 (8.50) | 316 (3.04) | <0.001 | 2.97 (2.24–3.92) |
| CIR026#Peripheral and visceral vascular disease | 258 (2.311) | 3 (1.16) | 377 (3.46) | 0.056 | 0.329 (0.105–1.03) |
| CIR029#Aortic; peripheral; and visceral artery aneurysms | 13 (0.116) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| CIR030#Aortic and peripheral arterial embolism or thrombosis | 11 (0.099) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| CIR032#Other specified and unspecified circulatory disease | 45 (0.403) | 1 (2.22) | 379 (3.41) | 0.66 | 0.644 (0.0885–4.69) |
| CIR037#Vasculitis | 8 (0.072) | 2 (25.00) | 378 (3.39) | 0.006 | 9.5 (1.91–47.2) |
| DIG004#Esophageal disorders | 48 (0.430) | 0 | 380 (3.42) | >0.99 | 0 |
| DIG005#Gastroduodenal ulcer | 41 (0.367) | 1 (2.44) | 379 (3.41) | 0.73 | 0.709 (0.0972–5.17) |
| DIG007#Gastritis and duodenitis | 340 (3.046) | 4 (1.18) | 376 (3.47) | 0.02 | 0.331 (0.123–0.891) |
| DIG017#Biliary tract disease | 18 (0.161) | 2 (11.11) | 378 (3.39) | 0.09 | 3.56 (0.816–15.5) |
| DIG019#Other specified and unspecified liver disease | 436 (3.905) | 13 (2.98) | 367 (3.42) | 0.62 | 0.868 (0.495–1.52) |
| END001#Thyroid disorders | 342 (3.063) | 11 (3.22) | 369 (3.41) | 0.84 | 0.941 (0.512–1.73) |
| END002#Diabetes mellitus without complication | 1,274 (11.412) | 57 (4.47) | 323 (3.27) | 0.02 | 1.39 (1.04–1.85) |
| END003#Diabetes mellitus with complication | 479 (4.291) | 16 (3.34) | 364 (3.41) | 0.93 | 0.98 (0.589–1.63) |
| END005#Diabetes mellitus, type 2 | 1,299 (11.636) | 60 (4.62) | 320 (3.24) | 0.01 | 1.44 (1.09–1.92) |
| END006#Diabetes mellitus, due to underlying condition, drug or chemical induced, or other specified type | 426 (3.816) | 14 (3.29) | 366 (3.41) | 0.89 | 0.963 (0.56–1.66) |
| END008#Malnutrition | 11 (0.099) | 3 (27.27) | 377 (3.38) | <0.001 | 10.7 (2.83–40.6) |
| END010#Disorders of lipid metabolism | 179 (1.603) | 0 | 380 (3.46) | >0.99 | 0 |
| END015#Other specified and unspecified endocrine disorders | 35 (0.314) | 3 (8.57) | 377 (3.39) | 0.10 | 2.67 (0.815–8.77) |
| END016#Other specified and unspecified nutritional and metabolic disorders | 45 (0.403) | 2 (4.44) | 378 (3.40) | 0.70 | 1.32 (0.319–5.48) |
| EYE002#Cataract and other lens disorders | 18 (0.161) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| EYE005#Retinal and vitreous conditions | 13 (0.116) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| FAC025#Other specified status | 11 (0.099) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| GEN001#Nephritis; nephrosis; renal sclerosis | 64 (0.573) | 1 (1.56) | 379 (3.41) | 0.42 | 0.449 (0.0621–3.25) |
| GEN002#Acute and unspecified renal failure | 252 (2.257) | 38 (15.08) | 342 (3.13) | <0.001 | 5.49 (3.82–7.88) |
| GEN003#Chronic kidney disease | 182 (1.630) | 10 (5.49) | 370 (3.37) | 0.12 | 1.67 (0.874–3.18) |
| GEN006#Other specified and unspecified diseases of kidney and ureters | 11 (0.099) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| GEN012#Hyperplasia of prostate | 543 (4.864) | 23 (4.24) | 357 (3.36) | 0.27 | 1.27 (0.827–1.96) |
| INF007#Hepatitis | 15 (0.134) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| INF008#Viral infection | 14 (0.125) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| INF011#Sequela of specified infectious disease conditions | 36 (0.322) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| INJ030#Drug induced or toxic related condition | 15 (0.134) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| INJ031#Allergic reactions | 15 (0.134) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| MAL001#Cardiac and circulatory congenital anomalies | 35 (0.314) | 2 (5.71) | 378 (3.40) | 0.45 | 1.72 (0.412–7.21) |
| MBD001#Schizophrenia spectrum and other psychotic disorders | 17 (0.152) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| MBD002#Depressive disorders | 56 (0.502) | 2 (3.57) | 378 (3.40) | 0.94 | 1.05 (0.255–4.33) |
| MBD005#Anxiety and fear-related disorders | 58 (0.520) | 0 | 380 (3.42) | >0.99 | 0 |
| MBD013#Miscellaneous mental and behavioral disorders/conditions | 47 (0.421) | 3 (6.38) | 377 (3.39) | 0.26 | 1.94 (0.6–6.28) |
| MBD017#Alcohol-related disorders | 12 (0.107) | 4 (33.33) | 376 (3.37) | <0.001 | 14.3 (4.3–47.8) |
| MUS003#Rheumatoid arthritis and related disease | 104 (0.932) | 4 (3.85) | 376 (3.40) | 0.80 | 1.14 (0.416–3.1) |
| MUS006#Osteoarthritis | 12 (0.107) | 1 (8.33) | 379 (3.40) | 0.36 | 2.58 (0.333–20.1) |
| MUS007#Other specified joint disorders | 21 (0.188) | 1 (4.76) | 379 (3.40) | 0.73 | 1.42 (0.19–10.6) |
| MUS011#Spondylopathies/spondyloarthropathy (including infective) | 94 (0.842) | 4 (4.26) | 376 (3.40) | 0.64 | 1.26 (0.462–3.46) |
| MUS013#Osteoporosis | 63 (0.564) | 1 (1.59) | 379 (3.41) | 0.43 | 0.456 (0.0631–3.3) |
| MUS024#Systemic lupus erythematosus and connective tissue disorders | 61 (0.546) | 2 (3.28) | 378 (3.40) | 0.95 | 0.962 (0.234–3.95) |
| MUS033#Gout | 97 (0.869) | 7 (7.22) | 373 (3.37) | 0.043 | 2.23 (1.03–4.84) |
| MUS038#Low back pain | 41 (0.367) | 1 (2.44) | 379 (3.41) | 0.73 | 0.709 (0.0972–5.17) |
| NEO005#Head and neck cancers-nasopharyngeal | 11 (0.099) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| NEO012#Gastrointestinal cancers-esophagus | 19 (0.170) | 2 (10.53) | 378 (3.39) | 0.10 | 3.35 (0.771–14.6) |
| NEO013#Gastrointestinal cancers-stomach | 28 (0.251) | 2 (7.14) | 378 (3.39) | 0.28 | 2.19 (0.518–9.26) |
| NEO015#Gastrointestinal cancers-colorectal | 21 (0.188) | 3 (14.29) | 377 (3.38) | 0.01 | 4.76 (1.4–16.2) |
| NEO017#Gastrointestinal cancers-liver | 16 (0.143) | 1 (6.25) | 379 (3.40) | 0.53 | 1.89 (0.25–14.4) |
| NEO019#Gastrointestinal cancers-gallbladder | 2 (0.018) | 1 (50.00) | 379 (3.40) | 0.01 | 28.5 (1.78–456) |
| NEO022#Respiratory cancers | 115 (1.030) | 8 (6.96) | 372 (3.37) | 0.03 | 2.15 (1.04–4.43) |
| NEO025#Skin cancers-melanoma | 2 (0.018) | 1 (50.00) | 379 (3.40) | 0.01 | 28.5 (1.78–456) |
| NEO030#Breast cancer-all other types | 13 (0.116) | 1 (7.69) | 379 (3.40) | 0.40 | 2.37 (0.307–18.3) |
| NEO033#Female reproductive system cancers-ovary | 4 (0.036) | 2 (50.00) | 378 (3.39) | 0.001 | 28.5 (4.01–203) |
| NEO039#Male reproductive system cancers-prostate | 13 (0.116) | 1 (7.69) | 379 (3.40) | 0.40 | 2.37 (0.307–18.3) |
| NEO043#Urinary system cancers-bladder | 4 (0.036) | 2 (50.00) | 378 (3.39) | 0.001 | 28.5 (4.01–203) |
| NEO058#Non-Hodgkin lymphoma | 15 (0.134) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| NEO065#Multiple myeloma | 11 (0.099) | 1 (9.09) | 379 (3.40) | 0.32 | 2.84 (0.363–22.3) |
| NEO070#Secondary malignancies | 30 (0.269) | 2 (6.67) | 378 (3.40) | 0.33 | 2.03 (0.482–8.56) |
| NVS004#Parkinson`s disease | 161 (1.442) | 14 (8.70) | 366 (3.33) | <0.001 | 2.77 (1.58–4.84) |
| NVS006#Other specified hereditary and degenerative nervous system conditions | 63 (0.564) | 10 (15.87) | 370 (3.33) | <0.001 | 5.47 (2.76–10.8) |
| NVS008#Paralysis (other than cerebral palsy) | 3 (0.027) | 1 (33.33) | 379 (3.40) | 0.03 | 14.2 (1.29–157) |
| NVS009#Epilepsy; convulsions | 117 (1.048) | 10 (8.55) | 370 (3.35) | 0.003 | 2.7 (1.4–5.2) |
| NVS011#Neurocognitive disorders | 241 (2.159) | 32 (13.28) | 348 (3.19) | <0.001 | 4.65 (3.16–6.85) |
| NVS012#Transient cerebral ischemia | 31 (0.278) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| NVS013#Coma; stupor; and brain damage | 25 (0.224) | 5 (20.00) | 375 (3.37) | <0.001 | 7.18 (2.68–19.2) |
| NVS016#Sleep wake disorders | 12 (0.107) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| NVS018#Myopathies | 8 (0.072) | 2 (25.00) | 378 (3.39) | 0.006 | 9.5 (1.91–47.2) |
| NVS020#Other specified nervous system disorders | 80 (0.717) | 4 (5.00) | 376 (3.39) | 0.43 | 1.5 (0.546–4.12) |
| RSP001#Sinusitis | 16 (0.143) | 0 | 380 (3.41) | >0.99 | 0 |
| RSP007#Other specified and unspecified upper respiratory disease | 50 (0.448) | 0 | 380 (3.42) | >0.99 | 0 |
| RSP008#Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and bronchiectasis | 537 (4.810) | 27 (5.03) | 353 (3.32) | 0.03 | 1.54 (1.03–2.3) |
| RSP009#Asthma | 124 (1.111) | 0 | 380 (3.44) | >0.99 | 0 |
| RSP016#Other specified and unspecified lower respiratory disease | 22 (0.197) | 1 (4.55) | 379 (3.40) | 0.76 | 1.35 (0.181–10.1) |
| SKN002#Other specified inflammatory condition of skin | 16 (0.143) | 2 (12.50) | 378 (3.39) | 0.06 | 4.07 (0.922–18) |
| SKN003#Pressure ulcer of skin | 129 (1.155) | 25 (19.38) | 355 (3.22) | <0.001 | 7.23 (4.61–11.3) |
The comorbidities with prevalence >1‰ or showing statistically significant relation with in-hospital mortality in univariate analysis in CCSR list and all the comorbidities in the Charlson and Elixhauser lists were shown in this table. AIDS, acquired immune deficiency syndrome; CAP, community-acquired pneumonia; CCSR, Clinical Classifications Software Refined; CI, confidence interval; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; OR, odds ratio.
The prevalence of each comorbidity in each age group and gender is shown in the online table (available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/jtd-2024-2081-2.pdf). Univariate analysis on the relationship between in-hospital mortality and each comorbidity in each age group and gender is shown in the online table (available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/jtd-2024-2081-3.pdf). The impact of comorbidities on in-hospital mortality was similar in patients of different ages and genders.
The results of multivariate regression analysis are shown in Tables 3,4, Figure 3 and the online table (available at https://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/public/jtd-2024-2081-4.pdf). In all models, age was an independent risk factor for in-hospital death. In-hospital mortality increased with age. Compared with the 45–64-year group, the adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for in-hospital mortality were 0.001–0.132 in the 18–44-year group, and 5.71–9.19 in the ≥85-year group across models.
Table 3
| Risk factors | β | P value | OR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comorbidities classified by the Charlson and Elixhauser lists | |||
| Age group | <0.001 | ||
| 18–44 vs. 45–64 years | −2.18 | 0.03 | 0.113 (0.0148–0.856) |
| 65–74 vs. 45–64 years | 0.555 | 0.09 | 1.74 (0.915–3.32) |
| 75–84 vs. 45–64 years | 1.16 | <0.001 | 3.19 (1.8–5.67) |
| ≥85 vs. 45–64 years | 1.74 | <0.001 | 5.71 (3.21–10.2) |
| Main diagnosis | <0.001 | ||
| Pneumonia, non-severe vs. pneumonia, severity unspecified | −1.59 | <0.001 | 0.203 (0.0937–0.441) |
| Pneumonia, severe vs. pneumonia, severity unspecified | 1.88 | <0.001 | 6.56 (4.84–8.89) |
| Comorbidity | |||
| Alcohol abuse | 2.88 | 0.02 | 17.8 (1.46–216) |
| Primary tumor | 0.915 | 0.01 | 2.5 (1.25–4.99) |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 0.678 | <0.001 | 1.97 (1.42–2.74) |
| Congestive heart failure | 0.408 | 0.01 | 1.5 (1.09–2.08) |
| Dementia | 1.14 | <0.001 | 3.12 (1.77–5.49) |
| Hypertension | −0.593 | <0.001 | 0.553 (0.405–0.754) |
| Neurological disorders | 1.21 | <0.001 | 3.37 (2.05–5.52) |
| Renal disease | 0.852 | <0.001 | 2.34 (1.45–3.78) |
| Constant | −4.85 | <0.001 | |
| Comorbidities classified by the CCSR list | |||
| Age group | <0.001 | ||
| 18–44 vs. 45–64 years | −2.11 | 0.042 | 0.122 (0.0159–0.93) |
| 65–74 vs. 45–64 years | 0.695 | 0.03 | 2 (1.04–3.86) |
| 75–84 vs. 45–64 years | 1.26 | <0.001 | 3.51 (1.95–6.33) |
| ≥85 vs. 45–64 years | 1.83 | <0.001 | 6.23 (3.43–11.3) |
| Main diagnosis | <0.001 | ||
| Pneumonia, non-severe vs. pneumonia, severity unspecified | −1.59 | <0.001 | 0.204 (0.0936–0.446) |
| Pneumonia, severe vs. pneumonia, severity unspecified | 1.88 | <0.001 | 6.56 (4.82–8.94) |
| Comorbidity | |||
| CIR007#Essential hypertension | −0.602 | <0.001 | 0.548 (0.4–0.75) |
| CIR019#Heart failure | 0.391 | 0.02 | 1.48 (1.07–2.05) |
| CIR020#Cerebral infarction | 0.832 | <0.001 | 2.3 (1.47–3.6) |
| CIR025#Sequela of cerebral infarction and other cerebrovascular disease | 0.731 | 0.001 | 2.08 (1.37–3.15) |
| GEN002#Acute and unspecified renal failure | 1.21 | <0.001 | 3.36 (1.97–5.74) |
| MBD017#Alcohol-related disorders | 2.84 | 0.02 | 17.1 (1.48–197) |
| MUS033#Gout | 1.28 | 0.006 | 3.61 (1.45–8.99) |
| NEO025#Skin cancers-melanoma | 3.36 | 0.02 | 28.7 (1.74–476) |
| NEO033#Female reproductive system cancers-ovary | 4.34 | 0.004 | 76.5 (4.08–1430) |
| NEO043#Urinary system cancers-bladder | 2.86 | 0.02 | 17.4 (1.46–207) |
| NEO065#Multiple myeloma | 2.63 | 0.02 | 13.9 (1.47–132) |
| NVS006#Other specified hereditary and degenerative nervous system conditions | 1.3 | 0.01 | 3.67 (1.29–10.5) |
| NVS009#Epilepsy; convulsions | 1.14 | 0.01 | 3.13 (1.32–7.46) |
| NVS011#Neurocognitive disorders | 0.961 | 0.001 | 2.61 (1.49–4.58) |
| NVS018#Myopathies | 3.25 | 0.008 | 25.8 (2.37–281) |
| SKN003#Pressure ulcer of skin | 1.19 | 0.001 | 3.27 (1.67–6.4) |
| Constant | −4.97 | <0.001 | – |
CAP, community-acquired pneumonia; CCSR, Clinical Classifications Software Refined; CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio.
Table 4
| Model | AUC (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Derivation group | Validation group | |
| Model A: model using demographic characteristics | 0.747 (0.719–0.775) | 0.746 (0.714–0.778) |
| Model B: model using the Charlson Comorbidity Index, demographic characteristics | 0.766 (0.738–0.793) | 0.775 (0.744–0.806) |
| Model C: model using the number of comorbidities in the Charlson list, demographic characteristics | 0.769 (0.741–0.796) | 0.771 (0.740–0.802) |
| Model D: model using the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index, demographic characteristics | 0.775 (0.749–0.802) | 0.781 (0.750–0.811) |
| Model E: model using the number of comorbidities in the Elixhauser list, demographic characteristics | 0.754 (0.727–0.782) | 0.753 (0.721–0.785) |
| Model F: model using a binary variable for each comorbidity classified in Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity list, demographic characteristics | 0.817 (0.793–0.841) | 0.804 (0.776–0.833) |
| Model G: model using the comorbidities classified by CCSR, demographic characteristics | 0.826 (0.801–0.850) | 0.790 (0.760–0.820) |
| Model H: model using the comorbidities classified by ICD chapters, demographic characteristics | 0.775 (0.748–0.803) | 0.762 (0.732–0.793) |
| Model I: model using the comorbidities classified by ICD blocks of category, demographic characteristics | 0.825 (0.800–0.849) | 0.786 (0.756–0.816) |
| Model J: model using the comorbidities classified by ICD categories, demographic characteristics | 0.827 (0.803–0.851) | 0.786 (0.755–0.817) |
| Model K: model using the comorbidities classified by ICD subcategories, demographic characteristics | 0.832 (0.808–0.856) | 0.783 (0.752–0.813) |
| Model L: the in-hospital death risk prediction model using PSI Comorbidity Index, demographic characteristics | 0.768 (0.741–0.796) | 0.780 (0.748–0.811) |
| Model M: the in-hospital death risk prediction model using PSI comorbidity list, demographic characteristics | 0.776 (0.748–0.804) | 0.768 (0.736–0.800) |
PSI Comorbidity Index = neoplastic disease × 3 + liver disease × 2 + congestive heart failure + cerebrovascular disease + renal disease. AUC, area under the curve; CAP, community-acquired pneumonia; CCSR, Clinical Classifications Software Refined; CI, confidence interval; ICD, International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems; PSI, Pneumonia Severity Index.
Male sex was an independent risk factor in partial multivariate models (OR =1.36–1.52), but this association was attenuated when comorbidities and primary diagnoses were fully adjusted for.
In all models including primary diagnosis, the primary diagnosis was an independent factor. Compared with the patients whose primary diagnosis being pneumonia severity not specified, the OR values of in-hospital death in the patients whose primary diagnosis of severe pneumonia ranged from 6.56 to 6.89, while the OR values of non-severe pneumonia ranged from 0.19 to 0.21.
All comorbidity indices were independent risk factors for in-hospital death. In the Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity lists, alcohol abuse, primary tumor, cerebrovascular disease, congestive heart failure, dementia, neurological disorders, and renal disease were independent risk factors for in-hospital death. However, hypertension tended to be a protective factor.
Among the comorbidities classified by CCSR category, CIR019#Heart failure, CIR020#Cerebral infarction, CIR025#Sequela of cerebral infarction and other cerebrovascular disease, GEN002#Acute and unspecified renal failure, MBD017#Alcohol-related disorders, MUS033#Gout, NEO025#Skin cancers-melanoma, NEO033#Female reproductive system cancers-ovary, NEO043#Urinary system cancers-bladder, NEO065#Multiple myeloma, NVS006#Other specified hereditary and degenerative nervous system conditions, NVS009#Epilepsy and convulsions, NVS011#Neurocognitive disorders, NVS018#Myopathies, SKN003#Pressure ulcer of skin were independent risk factors for in-hospital death.
Among the comorbidities classified by ICD, chapter-II Neoplasms, especially C43#Malignant melanoma of skin, C56#Malignant neoplasm of ovary, C61#Malignant neoplasm of prostate, C67#Malignant neoplasm of bladder, C90#Multiple myeloma and malignant plasma cell neoplasms, F03#Unspecified dementia, F10#Alcohol related disorders, G30#Alzheimer’s disease, G31#Other degenerative diseases of nervous system, not elsewhere classified, G40#Epilepsy and recurrent seizures, G72#Other and unspecified myopathies, I63#Cerebral infarction, I64#Stroke, not specified, I69#Sequelae of cerebrovascular disease, L89#Pressure ulcer, M10#Gout, M16#Osteoarthritis of hip, N19#Unspecified kidney failure, Q04#Other congenital malformations of brain were independent risk factors for in-hospital death.
The multivariate models including only demographic characteristics and comorbidities showed good performance in predicting in-hospital death in the validation group. The AUC ranged from 0.753 to 0.804 (Table 4). Multivariate models including primary diagnosis in addition to the demographic characteristics and comorbidities showed better performance, with AUC ranging from 0.848 to 0.871 (Table S1). Among the different methods for evaluating the comorbidities, the following is a list of models in decreasing order based on AUROC: the Model F (using a binary variable for each comorbidity classified in the Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity lists) and Model G (using a binary variable for every comorbidity classified in CCSR), Model D (using ECI) and Model B (using CCI), Model C (using number of comorbidities in the Charlson list) and Model E (using number of comorbidities in the Elixhauser list). The AUC of the models using a binary variable for each comorbidity classified in ICD-10 subcategory or category or block of category or chapter was lower than the models using a binary variable for every comorbidity classified in the Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity lists or CCSR. The best performing model based on AUC included binary variable for each comorbidity in the Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity lists.
Discussion
To the best of our knowledge, this was the first multicenter large-scale retrospective cohort study in China investigating the association between comorbidities and CAP in-hospital mortality. Our findings demonstrate that comorbidities exhibit significant independent associations with CAP-related mortality. The present study demonstrates that comorbidity burden and severity significantly contribute to the in-hospital mortality, consistent with the existing epidemiological evidence (5,8,9,11,12,17,18). The multivariate models incorporating comorbidity indices, age, and biological sex demonstrate strong discriminative ability for in-hospital mortality.
Age was an independent risk factor for CAP mortality, consistent with finding from prior studies (19,20). The association between age and CAP mortality may be attributed to multiple factors including diminished physiological reserve, frailty, decreased immune function, specific age-related physiologic changes and less aggressive therapeutic interventions in older patients (20). Male sex was an independent risk factor only when comorbidities were assessed by the Charlson or Elixhauser indices or the total comorbidity count, but not when individual comorbidities were included in the multivariate regression model. This observation suggests that the association between sex and CAP mortality may be mediated through differential comorbidity burdens between genders.
Among the Charlson and Elixhauser lists, alcohol abuse, primary tumor, cerebrovascular disease, congestive heart failure, dementia, hypertension, neurological disorders, and renal disease were identified as independent risk factors for CAP death.
Tumor was an independent risk factor for CAP death, which was consistent with the previous studies (5,17,21). Tumors may cause epithelial barrier disruption, aspiration, structural lung abnormalities and fragile. Furthermore, chemotherapy can cause immunosuppression and amplifying CAP severity (22). Given the expanding population of cancer survivors, targeted pneumonia prevention and treatment strategies in this immunocompromised cohort warrant prioritization.
Neurological comorbidities demonstrated significant associations with CAP mortality, particularly cerebrovascular disorders (including stroke and cerebral infarction sequelae), neurodegenerative conditions (dementia, Parkinson’s disease), epilepsy, and neuromuscular disorders (myasthenia gravis, idiopathic myopathies). Similar results have been reported in previous studies. Stroke and neurodegenerative diseases in Blanc et al.’s study (5), dementia and cerebrovascular disease in Hespanhol et al.’s study (18), dementia in Hunt et al.’s study (23), Parkinson’s disease in Chua et al.’s study (24), neurologic disease as a whole in Hannawi et al.’s study (25), cerebrovascular accident in Luna et al.’s study (17) were all independent risk factors for CAP death. However, the cerebrovascular disease was not an independent risk factor in Han et al.’s study (12) in China. This may be because the variables at admission may be the result of comorbidity, weakening the relationship between comorbidities and CAP mortality. Stroke can cause aspiration and immunodepression, which can aggravate pneumonia (25). In patients with dementia, inability to clear airway secretions, dysphagia, weight loss, debility and reduced immune function may all interact to worsen pneumonia (26). It was reported that quite a few myopathy patients had dysphagia (27), which was an important risk factor for pneumonia. Patients with myasthenia gravis were at a higher risk of serious infection, especially bacterial pneumonia (28). Pneumonia was also one of the most common causes of death in patients with epilepsy (29).
Heart failure was identified as an independent risk factor for CAP death, which was consistent with Luna et al.’s (17) and Han et al.’s (12) studies. In patients with heart failure, elevated alveolar fluid accumulation may exacerbate pneumonia progression through impaired bacterial clearance and compromised pulmonary host defenses. Conversely, pneumonia-induced dysregulation of inflammatory pathways and endothelial dysfunction may contribute to the exacerbation of pre-existing cardiovascular conditions (30). The renal disease and kidney failure were independent risk factors for CAP death, which was consistent with the results reported by Blanc et al. (5), Hespanhol et al. (18), Cillóniz et al. (31), and Luna et al. (17). However, the precise pathophysiological mechanisms underlying these associations require further elucidation.
The present study showed that alcohol abuse was an independent risk factor for CAP death. Previous study also showed that patients with alcohol use disorder had impaired host defenses and were at higher risk of pneumonia and poor outcomes (32).
While chronic respiratory diseases [especially chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), chronic bronchitis, and asthma], chronic heart disease, diabetes mellitus are well-established risk factors for CAP acquisition (33), their prognostic significance differs. In the present study, asthma and bronchiectasis were not significantly associated with CAP death. The association between COPD and CAP death was statistically significant in univariate analysis, but not in multivariate analysis, which was consistent with the previous epidemiological studies. COPD, asthma, and bronchiectasis were also not independent risk factors for CAP death in Cillóniz et al.’s (31), Luna et al.’s (17) and Han et al.’s (12) studies. COPD and asthma were even protective factors for CAP death in Hespanhol et al.’s study (18).
In the present study, hypertension is shown to be an independent protective factor for CAP death. Similarly, Han et al.’s study showed that hypertension was not a risk factor for CAP death (12). The OR values of hypertension on mortality was also significantly lower than 1 in The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) ECI system (15). The mechanism needs further study.
Among comorbidities in CCSR category, MUS033#Gout and SKN003#Pressure ulcer of skin were identified as independent risk factors for CAP death. Prior study reported a modest increase in pneumonia incidence among gout patients [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) =1.27], while the pneumonia-related mortality was not significantly changed (34). Gout was previously considered as a pro-inflammatory state that was resistant to infections, including pneumonia (34). The exact relationship between gout and pneumonia mortality needs further study. The present study showed that pressure ulcer was an independent risk factor for CAP death. Pressure ulcer often occurred in patients with impaired mobility, bed-bound and malnutrition (35). Cachexia and mobility impairment in Hespanhol et al.’s study (18) and long-term bedridden status in Han et al.’s study (12) were also independent risk factors for CAP death. The pressure ulcer could be considered as a geriatric syndrome with excess mortality risk (36).
Among comorbidities in ICD category, M16#Osteoarthritis of hip emerged as an independent risk factor for CAP death. These relationships have not been reported in previous studies to our knowledge. However, Singh et al.’s study (37) reported an increase in the incidence of severe infection, including pneumonia among people with osteoarthritis during the study period from 1998–2000 to 2015–2016.
In this retrospective cohort study, we systematically compared multiple comorbidity assessment methodologies. CCI, ECI, number of comorbidities in the Charlson list and Elixhauser list were all effective indicators for comorbidities. The Charlson and Elixhauser lists, CCSR, ICD-10 classifications on different level (chapters, blocks, categories and subcategories) were all valid lists for comorbidities for CAP based on the ICD-10 codes in China.
The CCI and ECI assigned weights to each comorbidity, and showed better performance than the number of comorbidities. The weight of comorbidities in CCI and ECI was derived and validated in general hospitalized populations. In this study, each disease in the Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity list was entered as binary variables in our CAP-specific model, and this approach achieved higher discriminative ability than the original weighted indices.
The CCSR and Chronic Condition Indicator were developed under the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) by AHRQ of USA. The CCSR aggregated more than 70,000 ICD-10-CM diagnosis code (version 2021 by Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services in USA) into hundreds of mutually exclusive clinically meaningful categories (7). It was originally used to analyze costs and outcomes of each case-mix, but was also used to identify the clinical categories of comorbidities (8). Chronic Condition Indicator distinguishes chronic from acute conditions based on ICD-code (13). The mapping table between ICD-10 Chinese clinical modification and CCSR category was developed in the present study and enabling operationalization of these tools in Chinese healthcare contexts. Comorbidities classified by CCSR categories also showed good performance in predicting CAP in-hospital death.
This study was to assess the association between comorbidities and the prognosis of pneumonia. Patients with more comorbidities may have poor prognosis and need early identification, multidisciplinary discussion, and active treatment. Our findings showed that the mortality rate was higher in CAP patients complicated with tumor, nervous system disease, cardiac insufficiency, and renal insufficiency. In clinical research involving pneumonia, it is imperative that patients’ comorbidities be comprehensively documented and reported in detail. Further investigation is warranted to elucidate the complex interactions between various comorbidities and pneumonia, particularly regarding the distinctive pathophysiological manifestations of pneumonia under different comorbid conditions. The targeted treatment plan needs to be further explored.
This study has several limitations. (I) this was a retrospective cohort study, which had the possibility of information bias and misclassification. However, the coding practice was highly standardized and under close scrutiny in Shanghai, China. Our predictive models demonstrated robust discrimination (AUC 0.86, 95% confidence interval: 0.82–0.90), suggesting acceptable data validity; (II) the microbiological diagnosis of CAP, the pneumococcal vaccine coverage, different antibiotic therapies, types of hospital and wards were not available in the present study; (III) the interaction between age and comorbidity or between comorbidities was not included in the multivariate analysis in the present study; (IV) the present study was limited to the data up to 2018 and did not include subsequent years’ data. However, this study reflected the pre-COVID-19 pneumonia landscape. While COVID-19 has emerged as a special type of CAP since 2020, its manifestations, clinical course, pathophysiological mechanisms, and outcome predictors differ substantially from traditional type CAP. The findings of this study provide a valuable control sample for comparative analysis against COVID-19 cases and pneumonia in the post-pandemic era.
Conclusions
A series of comorbidities were recognized as independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in adults with bacterial CAP. The multivariate model incorporating age, sex and comorbidities can predict the risk of in-hospital death of CAP with good performance.
Acknowledgments
None.
Footnote
Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the STROBE reporting checklist. Available at https://jtd.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/jtd-2024-2081/rc
Data Sharing Statement: Available at https://jtd.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/jtd-2024-2081/dss
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Funding: This study was supported by
Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://jtd.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/jtd-2024-2081/coif). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. This study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and its subsequent amendments. This study was approved by the Ruijin Hospital Ethics Committee (No. 2018-015-1). Given that the study was retrospective and all data were anonymous, the requirement for informed consent was waived.
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