Equivalence of neoadjuvant and perioperative therapies in patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Original Article

Equivalence of neoadjuvant and perioperative therapies in patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Junge Liu1 ORCID logo, Haodong Lu2 ORCID logo, Xinyao Zheng3 ORCID logo, Fangfang Shen4 ORCID logo, Wei Guo4 ORCID logo

1Department of Respiratory Medicine, Cancer Hospital Affiliated to Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China; 2Department of Thoracic Surgery, Cancer Hospital Affiliated to Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China; 3Department of Radiology, Cancer Hospital Affiliated to Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China; 4Department of Respiratory Medicine, Shanxi Province Cancer Hospital/Shanxi Hospital Affiliated to Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/Cancer Hospital Affiliated to Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China

Contributions: (I) Conception and design: W Guo, F Shen; (II) Administrative support: W Guo; (III) Provision of study materials or patients: W Guo, F Shen; (IV) Collection and assembly of data: J Liu, H Lu, X Zheng; (V) Data analysis and interpretation: J Liu, H Lu, X Zheng; (VI) Manuscript writing: All authors; (VII) Final approval of manuscript: All authors.

Correspondence to: Wei Guo, PhD; Fangfang Shen, MD. Department of Respiratory Medicine, Shanxi Province Cancer Hospital/Shanxi Hospital Affiliated to Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/Cancer Hospital Affiliated to Shanxi Medical University, No. 3 Zhigongxin Street, Taiyuan 030000, China. Email: guowei812@126.com; fangfangshen0351@hotmail.com.

Background: Both neoadjuvant and perioperative immunotherapies have emerged as standard-of-care treatments for patients with resectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, the optimal treatment strategy regarding the necessity of the adjuvant phase remains undefined due to a lack of direct head-to-head comparisons. This study thus aimed to quantitatively evaluate whether extending immunotherapy into the adjuvant phase confers a survival benefit over neoadjuvant therapy alone in patients with stage III NSCLC.

Methods: A systematic search of the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases was conducted for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published as of June 21, 2025. Individual patient data (IPD) were reconstructed from Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves of the eligible studies. The primary end points were event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS). Statistical analyses included stratified log-rank tests, Cox proportional hazards regression, and restricted mean survival time (RMST) analysis.

Results: Seven studies (six RCTs and one single-arm phase II trial) involving 1,436 patients with stage III NSCLC were included in the analysis. In the overall population, neoadjuvant and perioperative immunotherapies demonstrated comparable efficacy, with no significant difference in EFS [hazard ratio (HR) =0.99; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.72–1.36; P=0.94]. Subgroup analysis indicated stage-dependent outcomes: EFS was similar in the stage IIIA cohort (HR =1.04; P=0.87), whereas a nonsignificant advantage for neoadjuvant therapy was observed in the mixed-stage IIIA–IIIB cohort (HR =0.52; 95% CI: 0.27–1.03; P=0.05). In the analysis of OS, which was restricted to the stage IIIA population due to data maturity, no significant difference was found between the two strategies (HR =0.97; 95% CI: 0.58–1.64; P=0.92). The 5-year RMST of OS was 48.51 months for the neoadjuvant group and 47.56 months for the perioperative group (difference =0.95 months; P=0.69).

Conclusions: The findings from this IPD-based quantitative analysis suggest that neoadjuvant immunotherapy may yield EFS and OS outcomes comparable to those of perioperative immunotherapy in patients with resectable stage III NSCLC. However, given the indirect nature of the comparison, these results should be considered hypothesis-generating; they provide a rationale for investigating a neoadjuvant-only strategy as a potential de-escalation approach. Future head-to-head trials are warranted to validate these findings, particularly among patients with stage IIIB disease.

Keywords: Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); neoadjuvant immunotherapy; perioperative immunotherapy; individual patient data (IPD); meta-analysis


Submitted Jan 15, 2026. Accepted for publication Feb 27, 2026. Published online Mar 24, 2026.

doi: 10.21037/jtd-2026-1-0143


Highlight box

Key findings

• An analysis of reconstructed individual patient data (IPD) from 1,436 patients across seven trials indicated equivalent efficacy between neoadjuvant and perioperative immunotherapies in treating patients with resectable stage III non-small cell lung cancer. Pooled analysis showed no significant difference in event-free survival [hazard ratio (HR) =0.99; P=0.94] or overall survival (HR =0.97; P=0.92). In the subgroup analysis, the neoadjuvant-only approach tended to be more favorable for the mixed-stage IIIA–IIIB cohort (HR =0.52).

What is known and what is new?

• Although both neoadjuvant and perioperative immunotherapies have demonstrated superiority over chemotherapy in clinical settings, direct head-to-head comparisons between these two specific approaches are currently lacking.

• This study provides the first comprehensive IPD analysis using Weibull modeling and restricted mean survival time. Our findings suggest that extending immunotherapy into the adjuvant phase may offer limited incremental survival benefit over neoadjuvant therapy alone, challenging the “more is better” paradigm.

What is the implication, and what should change now?

• The findings from this study provide a rationale for investigating treatment de-escalation strategies. Our data suggest that a neoadjuvant-only strategy could potentially reduce toxicity and financial burden while maintaining comparable long-term survival outcomes. Consequently, the necessity of routine adjuvant consolidation warrants further evaluation in prospective studies to optimize individualized treatment approaches.


Introduction

Lung cancer remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) accounting for approximately 80–85% of all lung cancer cases (1,2). Surgical resection is the cornerstone of curative treatment for patients with early-stage to locally advanced disease (3,4); however, traditional perioperative chemotherapy offers limited efficacy, with the 5-year overall survival (OS) rates being only 40–55% among patients with locally advanced disease (5,6). The advent of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has revolutionized this therapeutic landscape, establishing both neoadjuvant and perioperative immunotherapy as standard-of-care strategies for individuals with resectable NSCLC. However, determining the optimal modality between these two approaches for stage III disease remains a critical but unmet need (7,8).

For patients with resectable stage III NSCLC, the efficacy of neoadjuvant immunotherapy has been confirmed in multiple phase III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) (9-11). The latest 5-year analysis from the CheckMate 816 trial demonstrated a significant event-free survival (EFS) benefit [5-year hazard ratio (HR) =0.68] (10). Multiple large-scale phase III RCTs have further solidified the clinical standing of perioperative immunotherapy (12-19). More recently, the CheckMate 77T trial demonstrated that perioperative nivolumab yielded a significant EFS improvement compared with neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus placebo followed by adjuvant placebo [HR =0.61; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.41–0.91] (13). Studies on this topic have consistently demonstrated that compared to chemotherapy alone, both neoadjuvant and perioperative immunotherapies significantly improve pathological response rates and survival outcomes. However, despite these remarkable advances, direct head-to-head comparisons between these approaches are lacking. It therefore remains unclear whether extending immunotherapy into the adjuvant phase confers superior survival benefits over the neoadjuvant-only approach, and an international consensus on the optimal therapeutic strategy for this population has yet to be established.

A meta-analysis conducted by Meng et al. (20) suggested that compared to other modalities, perioperative immunotherapy may possess a potential survival advantage. However, due to reliance on aggregate data, traditional meta-analyses are limited in their ability to fully account for time-dependent survival outcomes and patient-level heterogeneity. To overcome these limitations and achieve a direct “head-to-head” comparison, we conducted a quantitative analysis using individual patient data (IPD) reconstructed from Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves of pivotal RCTs (21,22).

To ensure the robustness of this comparison and evaluate the treatment strategies across different statistical dimensions, we employed a comprehensive statistical framework. This framework integrated standard survival metrics, including KM estimation (21,23,24), log-rank tests (25,26), and Cox proportional hazards regression (27,28), with advanced estimands such as restricted mean survival time (RMST) (29,30) and parametric Weibull distribution models (31,32), which could capture long-term survival dynamics. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to employ a unified IPD framework to directly compare the efficacy of neoadjuvant and perioperative immunotherapy in treating patients with stage III NSCLC. The overall aim of this work is to provide robust evidence that can support future clinical trial design and individualized treatment decision-making. We present this article in accordance with the PRISMA-DTA reporting checklist (33) (Figure S1) (available at https://jtd.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/jtd-2026-1-0143/rc).


Methods

Study design and protocol registration

The study protocol was prospectively registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) under the registration number CRD420251115901.

Search strategy and selection criteria

We performed a comprehensive, systematic search of the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases from their inception through June 21, 2025. The search strategy included a combination of keywords related to the disease (e.g., “non-small cell lung cancer”), intervention strategy (e.g., “neoadjuvant” and “perioperative”), and certain ICIs (Table S1). We also manually screened the reference lists of eligible articles to identify additional relevant studies.

Studies were selected based on the PICOS (Population/Patient, Intervention, Comparison/Control, Outcome, and Study) framework. The inclusion criteria were as follows: (I) RCTs published in English; (II) patients with pathologically confirmed resectable stage IIIA, IIIB, or combined IIIA–IIIB NSCLC; (III) a comparison between neoadjuvant and perioperative immunotherapy arms (or inclusion of both arms for indirect comparison); and (IV) a provision of KM survival curves for OS, EFS, or progression-free survival (PFS) with sufficient resolution to permit IPD reconstruction. Studies were excluded if they were (I) retrospective studies or conference abstracts with insufficient data; (II) lacking extractable KM curves specific to the stage III population; or (III) duplicate publications (only the most recent/comprehensive dataset was included).

Data extraction and quality assessment

Data extraction was performed independently by two reviewers (J.L. and X.Z.) using a standardized electronic form. Key extracted variables included the National Clinical Trial (NCT) identifier, lead author, publication year, study region, sample size, tumor stage distribution, treatment regimens, and median follow-up duration. Any discrepancies were resolved through discussion or consultation with a third investigator (F.S.).

IPD reconstruction

Reconstruction of time-to-event data constituted the core methodological component of this study. KM curves for EFS, PFS, and OS, alongside the reported numbers at risk, were digitized from the original publications. Two authors independently performed the reconstruction using the IPD from the KM method (21,23), which implements the Guyot algorithm to derive IPD from digitized coordinates. The accuracy of the reconstructed data was validated through the visual superimposition of the derived survival curves onto the original published curves. In instances of significant deviation, the digitization process was repeated to ensure data fidelity.

Risk-of-bias assessment

The risk of bias for the included RCTs was evaluated via the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool 2.0 (RoB 2) (34). Assessment domains included the randomization process, deviations from intended interventions, missing outcome data, measurement of the outcome, and selection of the reported result (visual summaries of the risk of bias assessment are presented in the “Results” section and Figure S2).

End points and population definitions

The primary efficacy end points were OS and EFS/PFS. OS was defined as the time from randomization to death from any cause. To address heterogeneity in trial reporting, EFS and PFS were harmonized as a single surrogate end point reflecting the time to disease progression, recurrence, or death (20,35); EFS was prioritized for extraction when both were available. The analysis focused on resectable stage III NSCLC, with prespecified subgroup analyses performed for stage IIIA, stage IIIB, and the combined IIIA–IIIB cohorts.

Statistical analysis

Quantitative analyses were performed on the pooled reconstructed IPD, survival distributions were estimated via the KM method, and between-group differences were evaluated with the stratified log-rank test (25). Treatment effects were quantified as HRs with 95% CIs via Cox proportional hazards models. Models were stratified by trial to account for interstudy heterogeneity and to preserve within-trial randomization characteristics (27). Given the potential non-proportional hazards frequently observed in immunotherapy trials (e.g., delayed treatment effects or crossing survival curves), which render the standard HR insufficient for capturing the full treatment effect, the Cox proportional hazards model was used primarily for descriptive purposes. RMST analysis (29) was conducted to quantify the absolute survival time benefit, as this method provides a robust measure independent of the proportional hazards assumption. Furthermore, long-term survival outcomes were extrapolated via the parametric models based on the Weibull distribution (31). All statistical analyses were executed through the use of R software version 4.3.1 (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing), specifically, the survival and flexsurv packages. All tests were two-sided, with statistical significance defined as P<0.05.


Results

Study selection

A total of seven studies involving 1,436 patients were included in the final quantitative analysis (Table S2). The cohort comprised six RCTs and one single-arm phase II trial (19). AEGEAN and KEYNOTE-671 were excluded as they reported only overall intention-to-treat (ITT) results, lacking the stage III-specific KM curves required for IPD reconstruction. Two studies evaluated neoadjuvant immunotherapy (10,11), while five assessed perioperative regimens (12,16-19). Regarding tumor staging, three trials specifically enrolled patients with stage IIIA disease (10,16,19), whereas four included the broader stage IIIA–IIIB population (11,12,17,18). In terms of geography, the analysis included four studies conducted in China, two conducted in multiple centers around the world, and one conducted in Europe, with median follow-up durations ranging from 14.1 to 72 months.

Quantitative analysis of EFS

Study selection and data harmonization

We synthesized EFS outcomes from seven clinical trials comparing neoadjuvant (9,11) or perioperative immunotherapy (12,16-19) with chemotherapy. Regarding study populations, three studies (9,16,19) exclusively enrolled patients with stage IIIA disease, whereas four trials (11,12,17,18) included mixed-stage IIIA and IIIB NSCLC cohorts.

To address the substantial heterogeneity in follow-up duration, which ranged from 14.4 to 41 months in six studies compared to a median of 72 months in the SAKK 16/14 trial (19), a uniform truncation time of 30 months was applied to the reconstructed IPD. This methodological adjustment was implemented to mitigate potential bias arising from the instability of survival estimates at the tail of the curves and to ensure the comparability of risk sets across the pooled analysis.

Comparative efficacy analysis

Overall population analysis

Direct comparison in the overall stage III population demonstrated equivalent efficacy in terms of EFS between the neoadjuvant and perioperative strategies, supported by consistent results from both the log-rank test (P=0.94) and Cox regression (HR =0.99; 95% CI: 0.72–1.36) (Figure 1A). This equivalence was further visually corroborated by the overlapping trajectories of the fitted Weibull curves (Figure 1B). Both immunotherapy strategies conferred significant survival advantages over chemotherapy alone (P<0.01), exhibiting a virtually identical magnitude of effect.

Figure 1 EFS and Weibull survival analysis in the intent-to-treat population. (A) KM curve of EFS for the overall stage III cohort. (B) Predicted 5-year survival rate for stage III disease based on the Weibull distribution. (C) EFS for the stage IIIA subpopulation. (D) Predicted 5-year survival rate for the stage IIIA–IIIB subpopulation. Chem, chemotherapy; CI, confidence interval; EFS, event-free survival; KM, Kaplan-Meier; Neo, neoadjuvant; Periop, perioperative.
Subgroup analysis by disease stage

Stratification revealed stage-dependent heterogeneity. Although the outcomes were comparable in the stage IIIA cohort (HR =1.04; P=0.87) (Figure 1C), the results tended to favor neoadjuvant therapy for the mixed-stage IIIA–IIIB cohort (HR =0.52; 95% CI: 0.27–1.03; P=0.05) (Figure 1D).

RMST analysis and long-term survival projections

RMST analysis indicated comparable efficacy in the overall population, with negligible differences at the 12-month (perioperative: 10.82; neoadjuvant: 10.72 months) and 24-month benchmarks (perioperative: 19.29; neoadjuvant: 19.37 months) (Table 1, Figure S3). However, subgroup patterns diverged: while stage IIIA outcomes were highly concordant, in the mixed-stage IIIA–IIIB cohort, neoadjuvant therapy had a numerical advantage at both 1 year (11.42 vs. 10.92 months) and 2 years (21.28 vs. 19.49 months) (Table 1, Figures S4,S5). The long-term Weibull projections mirrored these trends (Table 1, Figures S6-S11). In the overall population, neoadjuvant therapy showed a marginal 5-year absolute gain of 1.89% over perioperative therapy (Table 1, Figures S9,S10). Consistent with RMST findings, projections slightly favored perioperative therapy in the stage IIIA subgroup, while neoadjuvant therapy appeared more beneficial for the mixed-stage IIIA–IIIB cohort (Table 1, Figures S6,S7).

Table 1

Quantitative analysis results of RMST, median survival time, and survival rates for the Neo, Periop, and Chem strategies

Stage Methods RMST (months) Median survival time (months) Survival rate (%)
1-year 2-year 1-year 3-year 5-year
Stage III Neo 10.72 19.37 39.12 80.57 52.80 34.75
Periop 10.82 19.29 38.10 81.24 52.03 32.86
Chem 9.54 15.39 18.09 64.06 23.35 8.03
Stage IIIA Neo 10.42 18.57 34.05 77.68 48.11 30.13
Periop 10.63 18.89 43.92 80.24 55.91 40.12
Chem 9.66 15.73 19.51 65.57 27.37 11.27
Stage IIIA–IIIB Neo 11.42 21.28 60.21 87.77 66.57 50.12
Periop 10.92 19.49 32.94 81.69 46.18 23.67
Chem 9.47 15.18 17.23 62.96 20.58 6.09

, the best result. Chem, chemotherapy; Neo, neoadjuvant; Periop, perioperative; RMST, restricted mean survival time.

Quantitative analysis of OS

Rationale for cohort selection

A marked disparity in data maturity was observed across the included trials. Although the studies involving mixed-stage IIIA–IIIB populations [i.e., NADIM II (17) and NEOTORCH (18)] report a limited median follow-up (18.3–26.1 months), those targeting stage IIIA disease [i.e., CheckMate 816 (13) and SAKK 16/14 (11)] provide mature data exceeding 5 years (range, 68.4–72.0 months). To ensure the robustness of long-term estimates, OS analysis was strictly confined to the stage IIIA subpopulation.

Pooled analysis of OS outcomes

The pooled KM analysis showed no significant difference in OS between the neoadjuvant and perioperative therapy groups (P=0.92), with both demonstrating an improving trend compared with chemotherapy alone (P=0.08 and P=0.16, respectively). Cox regression analysis for stage IIIA NSCLC further confirmed that both neoadjuvant (HR =0.68) and perioperative therapies (HR =0.70) provided OS benefits over chemotherapy, with no significant difference observed between the two experimental arms (HR =0.97) (Figure 2A).

Figure 2 OS and quantitative analysis via Weibull distribution and RMST for patients with stage IIIA NSCLC in the intent-to-treat population. (A) KM curve of OS in the stage IIIA cohort. (B-D) Predicted 5-year survival rates based on the Weibull distribution for the neoadjuvant, perioperative, and chemotherapy groups. (E) RMST analysis comparing the neoadjuvant, perioperative, and chemotherapy groups among the stage IIIA population. Chem, chemotherapy; CI, confidence interval; KM, Kaplan-Meier; Neo, neoadjuvant; NSCLC, non-small cell lung cancer; OS, overall survival; Periop, perioperative; RMST, restricted mean survival time.

Long-term survival projection

Weibull distribution modeling projected that stage IIIA patients receiving either neoadjuvant or perioperative therapy would exhibit favorable long-term outcomes, with estimated median survival times of approximately 100 months. Both groups showed comparable projected survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years. In contrast, the projected median survival for the chemotherapy group was markedly lower at 65.68 months, with consistently inferior survival rates at all time points (Figure 2B-2D).

To quantify absolute survival gains, RMST was calculated at a 5-year horizon. Among stage IIIA patients, the 5-year RMSTs for neoadjuvant therapy, perioperative therapy, and chemotherapy were 48.51, 47.56, and 42.82 months, respectively. Both immunotherapy strategies demonstrated significant survival benefits over chemotherapy (RMST difference P=0.02 and P=0.03, respectively). However, in a direct head-to-head comparison, the survival benefit of neoadjuvant therapy over perioperative therapy did not reach statistical significance (RMST difference =0.95 months; 95% CI: −3.77 to 5.67; P=0.69) (Figure 2E).


Discussion

This study represents the first comprehensive quantitative analysis to use reconstructed IPD from seven clinical trials to compare neoadjuvant and perioperative immunotherapy for the treatment of stage III NSCLC. Our findings indicate that extending immunotherapy into the adjuvant setting suggests a limited incremental survival benefit over neoadjuvant therapy alone. These results challenge the ‘more is better’ treatment paradigm and provide a rationale to hypothesize that a de-escalated neoadjuvant-only strategy may be sufficient for a substantial proportion of patients with stage III NSCLC.

EFS has been established as a robust end point for evaluating therapeutic efficacy in patients with resectable NSCLC (36,37). In the overall population, our pooled analysis demonstrated comparable efficacy between the two strategies. The consistency across KM estimates, Cox regression, and RMST analysis results further reinforces the notion that the addition of adjuvant therapy yields negligible incremental benefit in preventing disease recurrence. The consistency across KM estimates, Cox regression, and RMST analysis results further reinforces the notion that the addition of adjuvant therapy may yield negligible incremental benefit in preventing disease recurrence. These findings provide a rationale for investigating treatment de-escalation strategies in future trials, potentially sparing patients from the toxicity and financial burden associated with prolonged postoperative maintenance therapy.

We observed stage-dependent heterogeneity in the subgroup analyses. Although the outcomes were indistinguishable in the stage IIIA cohort, the mixed-cohort, including stage IIIB patients, tended to receive greater benefit from the neoadjuvant-only approach. From a biological perspective, neoadjuvant immunotherapy relies on the presence of a macroscopic tumor to serve as an antigen source for expanding tumor-specific T cells (38,39). In patients with high tumor burden (stage IIIB), this “in situ vaccination” effect induced during the induction phase may be sufficient to eradicate micrometastases. Consequently, continuing adjuvant therapy after tumor resection may offer limited incremental biological benefit. In the clinical setting, the surgical complexity associated with locally advanced disease often leads to prolonged recovery or complications, resulting in significant postoperative treatment attrition. Thus, the theoretical benefit of adjuvant consolidation is frequently compromised by reduced feasibility. Although certain retrospective research suggests benefits for perioperative therapy (40), our IPD analysis underscores the need for cautious interpretation and further head-to-head validation in this specific population (41).

Additionally, adjuvant therapy efficacy likely depends on pathological response. Emerging evidence suggests that patients achieving major pathological response (MPR) without pathological complete response (pCR) derive greater benefit from adjuvant consolidation compared to those achieving pCR (9,12,42). However, as the included trials lacked KM curves stratified by MPR or pCR specifically for the stage III population, we were unable to perform specific subgroup analyses. Consequently, while our pooled analysis suggests limited incremental benefit in the overall stage III population, we cannot preclude the possibility that the residual disease (non-pCR) subgroup may still derive significant benefit from adjuvant intervention. To move beyond a ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach, ctDNA dynamics (clearance vs. persistence) can effectively distinguish candidates for treatment omission from those requiring adjuvant consolidation (43,44). Therefore, future IPD meta-analyses should incorporate these dynamic variables to validate personalized de-escalation strategies.

OS remains the gold standard metric of long-term efficacy (45). To ensure data maturity and comparability, we confined our analysis to the stage IIIA population. In this cohort, neoadjuvant and perioperative strategies yielded indistinguishable survival outcomes, evidenced by overlapping HRs and consistent 5-year RMST estimates. These findings imply that for patients with stage IIIA NSCLC, the maximal survival benefit is likely achieved during the neoadjuvant induction phase.

Consequently, omitting the adjuvant component represents a potential de-escalation strategy worthy of further investigation, as it could minimize the treatment burden while maintaining comparable long-term survival outcomes, particularly for patients at high surgical risk or those preferring a shorter treatment duration (46,47).

Several limitations of this study should be acknowledged. First, the analysis of the Stage IIIA–IIIB subgroup was primarily driven by a single trial, resulting in a significant sample size imbalance between the neoadjuvant (n=88) and perioperative (n=406) arms; consequently, the borderline significance (P=0.05) should be interpreted with caution as an exploratory trend. Second, the inclusion of single-arm trials lacks randomization, and the use of reconstructed IPD precludes multivariable adjustments for baseline covariates, limiting causal inference and potentially introducing confounding bias. Third, inconsistent original reporting prevented pooled analyses of biomarkers (e.g., PD-L1), safety end points, or OS. Finally, due to significant heterogeneity in follow-up duration (14.1–72 months), a uniform 30-month truncation was applied to ensure statistical stability, as numbers at risk in the perioperative arm were insufficient beyond this point. While this limits the assessment of late-term events, data immaturity rendered sensitivity analyses at extended thresholds infeasible.


Conclusions

In conclusion, this meta-analysis suggests that, particularly in patients with stage IIIA NSCLC, neoadjuvant immunotherapy may yield OS and EFS benefits comparable to those of the more intensive perioperative approach. These findings provide a rationale for investigating treatment de-escalation strategies to optimize resource allocation and minimize toxicity. Future large-scale, head-to-head RCTs with extended follow-up are warranted to definitively guide precision treatment strategies for patients with stage IIIB disease.


Acknowledgments

Declaration of generative AI and AI-assisted technologies in the writing process: during the preparation of this work, the authors used ChatGPT exclusively in order to improve the readability and language quality of the manuscript. After using this tool/service, the authors reviewed and edited the content as needed and take full responsibility for the content of the publication.


Footnote

Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the PRISMA-DTA reporting checklist. Available at https://jtd.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/jtd-2026-1-0143/rc

Peer Review File: Available at https://jtd.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/jtd-2026-1-0143/prf

Funding: This study was funded by the Beijing Science and Technology Innovation Medical Development Foundation (No. KC2021-JX-0186-59).

Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://jtd.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/jtd-2026-1-0143/coif). W.G. reports that this study was funded by the Beijing Science and Technology Innovation Medical Development Foundation (No. KC2021-JX-0186-59). The other authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved.

Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.


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(English Language Editor: J. Gray)

Cite this article as: Liu J, Lu H, Zheng X, Shen F, Guo W. Equivalence of neoadjuvant and perioperative therapies in patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Thorac Dis 2026;18(3):239. doi: 10.21037/jtd-2026-1-0143

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