Original Article


Factors that predict progression-free survival in Chinese lung adenocarcinoma patients treated with epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors

Shaohua Cui, Liwen Xiong, Yuqing Lou, Huangping Shi, Aiqin Gu, Yizhuo Zhao, Tianqing Chu, Huimin Wang, Wei Zhang, Lili Dong, Liyan Jiang

Abstract

Background: Although first-generation epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) have shown efficacy in patients with advanced lung cancers, survival predictors with these drugs have not been extensively investigated. This study was performed to explore factors that may predict progression-free survival (PFS) in Chinese lung adenocarcinoma patients treated with EGFR-TKIs.
Methods: We retrospectively collected clinicopathologic data on 208 patients who received either gefitinib, erlotinib or icotinib, including the patients’ EGFR mutation status and levels of six serum tumor markers [carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), neuron-specific enolase (NSE), cancer antigen 125 (CA125), squamous cell carcinoma antigen (SCC), cytokeratin-19 fragments (CYFRA21-1) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH)]. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors associated with PFS.
Results: At the study cutoff date, 189 (90.9%) of the patients met the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) version 1.0 criteria for progressive disease (PD), while 19 (9.1%) had stable disease (SD). The median PFS of the 208 patients was 12.4 months (95% CI, 11.0–13.8 months). In the multivariate analysis using a Cox proportional hazard model, a non-smoking history [hazard ratio (HR) =2.460; 95% CI, 1.484–4.079; P<0.001], first-line treatment (HR =1.500; 95% CI, 1.062–2.119; P=0.021), and a high pretreatment serum level of CEA (HR =1.424; 95% CI 1.026–1.977; P=0.035) were found to be significant predictors of a longer PFS.
Conclusions: In Chinese lung adenocarcinoma patients treated with EGFR-TKIs, a non-smoking history, first-line EGFR-TKIs treatment and a high serum level of CEA were independent predictors of a longer PFS along with an EGFR-activating mutation.

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